Final Mock Draft - Round 1

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Tony Pauline

Draft Analyst Writer

Our final mock draft for this year’s event. As usual, we are not predicting any trades but mention them in the analysis, as well as other directions teams could go.

1

Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray

QB

Oklahoma

Analysis: Two months ago, I thought this could never happen. But as an executive told me at the combine, “When you make a questionable hire like Kliff Kingsbury, you better make sure he has the tools he feels are necessary to succeed or everyone is going to get fired.” They may all get fired anyway.

 

2

San Francisco 49ers

Nick Bosa

DE

Ohio State

Analysis: The Niners will look to trade down, but the contract they signed Dee Ford to is team-friendly, which makes drafting Bosa a no-brainer.

 

3

New York Jets

Josh Allen

Edge

Kentucky

Analysis: Quinnen Williams is the better pick, but the Jets desperately need an edge rusher. They also desperately want to trade out of this slot and collect extra picks, which is what I think will happen here.

 

4

Oakland Raiders

Ed Oliver

DT

Houston

Analysis: The Raiders could go in a few different directions, but Oliver helps the pass rush and improves the interior defensive line.

 

5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Devin White

ILB

LSU

Analysis: Inside linebacker is probably the biggest need on the Bucs depth chart, and they fill it with a playmaker.

 

6

New York Giants

Quinnen Williams

DL

Alabama

Analysis: I still believe Ohio State quarterback Dwayne Haskins is in play at this spot, but the Giants fill a need with the best player in the draft.

 

7

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jawaan Taylor

OT

Florida

Analysis: Much depends on whether the Jags have red-flagged Taylor’s medicals. If they do red-flag him, I believe the pick could be Jonah Williams.

 

8

Detroit Lions

Rashan Gary

DE

Michigan

Analysis: They still need another edge player despite signing Trey Flowers in free agency.

 

9

Buffalo Bills

Andre Dillard

OT

Washington State

Analysis: In my opinion, Dillard will be the top offensive lineman to come from this draft.

 

10

Denver Broncos

T.J. Hockenson

TE

Iowa

Analysis: Drew Lock has been my pick in this slot since January, but Hockenson is more of the sure thing and John Elway can’t miss with this pick.

 

11

Cincinnati Bengals

Montez Sweat

Edge

Mississippi State

Analysis: A young pass rusher is sorely needed. Much depends on how the Bengals view Sweat’s medicals. 

 

12

Green Bay Packers

Jonah Williams

OL

Alabama

Analysis: The Packers did a great job filling needs on defense during free agency. In a year deep at the tight end position, they take Williams, who’s a great fit for the offensive line and a Packers type of blocker.

 

13

Miami Dolphins

Dwayne Haskins

QB

Ohio State

Analysis: I never bought into the belief that the Dolphins were going to tank this season in order to get a quarterback a year from now.

 

14

Atlanta Falcons

Christian Wilkins

DT

Clemson

Analysis: They will try and trade up for Ed Oliver, but the asking price will be too steep.

 

15

Washington Redskins

Drew Lock

QB

Missouri

Analysis: Lock has boom or bust written all over him.

 

16

Carolina Panthers

Clelin Ferrell

DE

Clemson

Analysis: The Panthers fill a need with the steal of the draft.

 

17

NY Giants (from Cleveland)

Daniel Jones

QB

Duke

Analysis: We first mentioned the Giants’ infatuation with Jones during our podcast on March 27, right after his pro day.

 

18

Minnesota Vikings

Dexter Lawrence

DT

Clemson

Analysis: The Vikings signed 28 year-old Shamar Stephen in free agency, but it was a team-friendly contract. Lawrence improves the entire line.

 

19

Tennessee Titans

Brian Burns

Edge

Florida State

Analysis: Burns is a perfect fit for the Titans, who need a pass rusher.

 

20

Pittsburgh Steelers

Byron Murphy

CB

Washington

Analysis: The Steelers fill a need with a true playmaker.

 

21

Seattle Seahawks

Greedy Williams

CB

LSU

Analysis: The rumor is that Williams has some medical red flags, but he’s a top-15 talent on my board and a perfect fit for Seattle.

 

22

Baltimore Ravens

Cody Ford

OG

Oklahoma

Analysis: Wide receiver is a huge need, and they must replace C.J. Mosley, but the Ravens have a gaping hole as guard.

 

23

Houston Texans

Garrett Bradbury

OC

North Carolina State

Analysis: I’d much prefer to put a left tackle here, but the Texans need help all along the offensive line and there were calls to bench starting center Nick Martin late last season.

 

24

Oakland Raiders (from Chicago)

Devin Bush

LB

Michigan

Analysis: Brandon Marshall was only signed to a one-year deal. Bush brings a lot of Raiders attitude with him.

 

25

Philadelphia Eagles

Marquise Brown

WR

Oklahoma

Analysis: The Eagles want to add speed at receiver, and Brown does exactly that.

 

26

Indianapolis Colts

Jerry Tillery

DT

Notre Dame

Analysis: The Colts will look to upgrade their defensive line.

 

27

Oakland Raiders (from Dallas)

Rock Ya-Sin

CB

Temple

Analysis: Yet another tough, nasty defensive prospect for the Silver & Black.

 

28

Los Angeles Chargers

Jeffery Simmons

DT

Mississippi State

Analysis: Brandon Mebane will be the placeholder as Simmons rehabs his knee to full strength. 

 

29

Seattle Seahawks (from Kansas City)

Jaylon Ferguson

DE

Louisiana Tech

Analysis: I would expect the Seahawks to make further moves to collect extra selections, but they’ll have to address their pass-rush need at some point.

 

30

Green Bay Packers (from New Orleans)

Noah Fant

TE

Iowa

Analysis: The Packers fill a need with a really good prospect. Jeffery Simmons is a consideration at this spot.

 

31

Los Angeles Rams

Erik McCoy

C

Texas A&M

Analysis: McCoy brings an upgrade at center.

 

32

New England Patriots

Irv Smith Jr.

TE

Alabama

Analysis: Noah Fant is a better fit for their system but won’t be available.